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Transcript

Iowa Down Ballot with Dave Price 4/5/25

Dave is joined by Laura Belin of Bleeding Heartland and Erin Murphy of the Cedar Rapids Gazette.
  • Three of the top political reporters in Iowa are back with a lot more to discuss this week. First off a grateful Dave thanks pinch-hitter Erin for sharing his office space in Des Moines and then we’re off to the races. Topics this week include; The impact of Trump’s tariffs, especially on the state of Iowa; Each of our panelists attended the legislative leadership avails (minus Governor Reynolds) on Thursday and give their top lines; A possible end to the bill that would have made it harder to sue producers of glyphosate (Roundup) for possible cancer links; Where do we stand with the carbon pipeline/eminent domain issue in the statehouse including large energy companies possibly entering the fray; Have a good weekend!

Here’s the transcript if you’d like to read the conversation:

Dave Price (00:00:01):

Hi, everybody, and welcome to the Iowa Down Ballot podcast.

Dave Price (00:00:06):

This is a production of the Iowa Riders Collaborative,

Dave Price (00:00:10):

our misfit group of about 80 different columnists from all over the place,

Dave Price (00:00:14):

for the most part,

Dave Price (00:00:15):

talking about all things Iowa,

Dave Price (00:00:18):

or at least how things relate to what's going on in our state.

Dave Price (00:00:22):

Let's bring our contributors in.

Dave Price (00:00:25):

Laura Bellin, our regular from the Bleeding Heartland.

Dave Price (00:00:27):

Hello to you.

Laura Belin (00:00:28):

Good to see you, Dave.

Dave Price (00:00:30):

And we have a pinch hitter batting second.

Dave Price (00:00:32):

He's a righty, still looking to bust his way into the majors.

Dave Price (00:00:38):

Aaron Murphy, the Des Moines Bureau Chief for the Cedar Rapids Gazette.

Erin Murphy (00:00:42):

What's going on?

Erin Murphy (00:00:44):

Proud to describe myself as the ever sought light hitting first baseman.

Erin Murphy (00:00:49):

Good to be here, Dave.

Dave Price (00:00:51):

Are we allowed to discuss that we occasionally share an office,

Dave Price (00:00:55):

your company and my company,

Dave Price (00:00:56):

only because of your generosity?

Dave Price (00:00:59):

Is that something we're allowed to say publicly?

Erin Murphy (00:01:01):

We probably should because if we hear a sneeze in the background while I'm

Erin Murphy (00:01:05):

recording here,

Erin Murphy (00:01:05):

it's your co-worker,

Erin Murphy (00:01:06):

Connor.

(00:01:07):

So

Dave Price (00:01:09):

Yes,

Dave Price (00:01:09):

who is like six inches away from you because that's how the space works out in that office.

Dave Price (00:01:14):

So let me publicly express my gratitude to Aaron Murphy,

Dave Price (00:01:18):

who has tolerated our TV duo from just completely intruding on his business

Dave Price (00:01:27):

personal space there.

Dave Price (00:01:29):

He has wedged himself into this tiny corner.

Dave Price (00:01:32):

Yeah, I'm sorry, Dave.

Dave Price (00:01:33):

Watching on video, everything you see, that's all Aaron has right there.

Erin Murphy (00:01:37):

Yeah,

Erin Murphy (00:01:37):

Connor's actually waving at me right now asking if I can just kind of scoot back a

Dave Price (00:01:41):

little bit.

Dave Price (00:01:42):

My television colleague, Connor Hendricks, in the room with him.

Dave Price (00:01:46):

So this will be my public gratitude to Aaron,

Dave Price (00:01:50):

who has graciously allowed us to infringe on his base.

Laura Belin (00:01:53):

So thanks for jumping in with us.

Laura Belin (00:01:55):

I want to express my gratitude that Aaron,

Laura Belin (00:01:57):

who also is the president of the Iowa Capitol Press Association,

Laura Belin (00:02:01):

was able to get us a media availability with the Iowa Senate president,

Laura Belin (00:02:04):

Amy Sinclair,

Laura Belin (00:02:05):

yesterday,

Laura Belin (00:02:06):

which had not been announced or scheduled,

Laura Belin (00:02:08):

but he was the squeaky wheel who got the grease.

Erin Murphy (00:02:12):

And that was nice.

Erin Murphy (00:02:13):

It was, it was, I appreciate that, Lauren.

Erin Murphy (00:02:15):

It was nice to have,

Erin Murphy (00:02:17):

especially at that funnel deadline,

Erin Murphy (00:02:19):

which we may talk about here in a little bit.

Erin Murphy (00:02:20):

It was nice to have the perspectives of all four leadership caucuses that day.

Erin Murphy (00:02:25):

So it was, it was good to get Senator Sinclair out there with us.

Dave Price (00:02:29):

Yep.

Dave Price (00:02:29):

Yep.

Dave Price (00:02:32):

I don't know how to begin this discussion without,

Dave Price (00:02:37):

I know we're very Iowa focused,

Dave Price (00:02:39):

but how do we not talk about tariffs?

Dave Price (00:02:42):

I think almost outside of talking to my son and daughter today,

Dave Price (00:02:47):

I don't know that I've spoken to anyone today where anybody

Dave Price (00:02:51):

Tariffs have not come up other than the insurance person talking about trying to fix my car.

Dave Price (00:02:56):

But other than that, I mean, it's in every way.

Dave Price (00:02:59):

And I was just looking at the headline that down another six percent on Friday.

Dave Price (00:03:05):

So it's some kind of six trillion dollar.

Dave Price (00:03:09):

overall wealth loss over the last two days.

Dave Price (00:03:13):

Aaron, since you're our guest star here, what do you make all of this?

Dave Price (00:03:18):

And as a reporter,

Dave Price (00:03:19):

what's going through your head about how you need to look at the coverage of this?

Erin Murphy (00:03:24):

Yeah,

Erin Murphy (00:03:24):

well,

Erin Murphy (00:03:25):

I mean,

Erin Murphy (00:03:25):

like anything,

Erin Murphy (00:03:26):

and as you alluded to,

Erin Murphy (00:03:29):

my job is to cover Iowa,

Erin Murphy (00:03:31):

so you're always thinking of it through the prism of,

Erin Murphy (00:03:33):

okay,

Erin Murphy (00:03:34):

how does this impact Iowans?

Erin Murphy (00:03:35):

And in a lot of ways,

Erin Murphy (00:03:36):

stuff like this impacts Iowans the same way it does everybody else in the country,

Erin Murphy (00:03:41):

but there are ways you can look at it differently,

Erin Murphy (00:03:43):

and in the spirit of continual cross-promotion here,

Erin Murphy (00:03:47):

Dave,

Erin Murphy (00:03:48):

you and I chatted with some folks earlier this morning for the Iowa Press episode

Erin Murphy (00:03:53):

that we'll

Erin Murphy (00:03:54):

air over the weekend and we talked about a little bit about how that could impact

Erin Murphy (00:03:58):

the ag economy here and an agricultural economy in the state that was already sort

Erin Murphy (00:04:04):

of wobbly in the knees even before all this and and uh what kind of impact that

Erin Murphy (00:04:10):

could have and all the ancillary impacts that has beyond farmers out to

Erin Murphy (00:04:14):

manufacturers and and and the like and so

Erin Murphy (00:04:18):

Yeah, you just I selfishly, I have not logged into my 401k account in the last day or two.

Erin Murphy (00:04:28):

I'm putting that off.

Erin Murphy (00:04:30):

Yeah.

Erin Murphy (00:04:32):

But yeah,

Erin Murphy (00:04:33):

you know,

Erin Murphy (00:04:33):

you know,

Erin Murphy (00:04:33):

for the job,

Erin Murphy (00:04:34):

you look for the ways that,

Erin Murphy (00:04:35):

you know,

Erin Murphy (00:04:37):

you talk to Iowans about how could this impact them and the people around them and

Erin Murphy (00:04:42):

the industries around them.

Dave Price (00:04:44):

Laura, do you how do you how do you look at what you should focus on?

Laura Belin (00:04:47):

Well,

Laura Belin (00:04:48):

Dan Piller,

Laura Belin (00:04:48):

who's a longtime business reporter,

Laura Belin (00:04:51):

former ag reporter for the Des Moines Register,

Laura Belin (00:04:53):

now retired,

Laura Belin (00:04:54):

he just wrote something for Bleeding Heartland that I'm about to publish here

Laura Belin (00:04:58):

shortly after this about the impact of the tariffs.

Laura Belin (00:05:00):

And I think that this is going to affect a lot more people than the first Trump

Laura Belin (00:05:05):

administration tariffs.

Laura Belin (00:05:06):

They did adversely affect ag.

Laura Belin (00:05:08):

There was a big bailout of farmers.

Laura Belin (00:05:11):

But I don't think the average American was aware of what's going on.

Laura Belin (00:05:15):

But these are so much more extensive than what the tariffs that were done at that time.

Laura Belin (00:05:20):

And even at that time,

Laura Belin (00:05:21):

I mean,

Laura Belin (00:05:21):

the farmers,

Laura Belin (00:05:22):

they had the short-term help from the federal government,

Laura Belin (00:05:24):

but there was a long-term loss in export markets.

Laura Belin (00:05:26):

And that's one thing that Dan has focused on,

Laura Belin (00:05:29):

that it's not going to necessarily be so easy to recover that.

Laura Belin (00:05:32):

But also...

Laura Belin (00:05:34):

Well,

Laura Belin (00:05:34):

a certain small percentage of Iowans work directly in farming and a slightly larger

Laura Belin (00:05:39):

percentage work in some ag related position.

Laura Belin (00:05:42):

I mean,

Laura Belin (00:05:43):

100 percent of people are going to be paying more for clothes,

Laura Belin (00:05:46):

shoes,

Laura Belin (00:05:47):

basic household goods.

Laura Belin (00:05:48):

So I think this will be something food.

Laura Belin (00:05:51):

Yeah, absolutely.

Laura Belin (00:05:51):

People are going to be talking about this a lot more than we've ever heard before.

Dave Price (00:05:56):

Yeah, I'm so curious if how much people can stomach with this.

Dave Price (00:06:02):

You know,

Dave Price (00:06:02):

you have the really kind of diehard Trump supporters who say,

Dave Price (00:06:07):

all right,

Dave Price (00:06:07):

we got a guy who's sticking up for us.

Dave Price (00:06:09):

We've been screwed on these deals.

Dave Price (00:06:11):

I remember when we used to make this in our town.

Dave Price (00:06:14):

Grandpa used to do it.

Dave Price (00:06:15):

Now that's gone.

Dave Price (00:06:16):

And, you know, all of this stuff that you're mad and upset about.

Dave Price (00:06:20):

And we're hearing the talk even from Republicans who have backed Trump about

Dave Price (00:06:26):

including the Secretary of Agriculture,

Dave Price (00:06:28):

Brooke Rollins,

Dave Price (00:06:29):

when she was here this past week,

Dave Price (00:06:30):

that,

Dave Price (00:06:31):

all right,

Dave Price (00:06:31):

there might be a bump.

Dave Price (00:06:32):

And, you know, she phrased it weeks, maybe months, you know, whatever.

Dave Price (00:06:35):

But you have other folks who are saying, hey, this is going to be way longer than that.

Dave Price (00:06:39):

But I'm so curious how long people can handle this.

Dave Price (00:06:42):

You joked, Aaron, about not looking at your 401k.

Dave Price (00:06:45):

But like, while we don't feel young, we know that, you know, realistically, we are years from

Dave Price (00:06:52):

retirement and hope that we can make all this back up and more.

Dave Price (00:06:55):

Right.

Dave Price (00:06:55):

But if you're on the other side of this, you're going, Oh my gosh, like, you know, I'm 75.

Dave Price (00:07:01):

How the heck am I going to recover from this?

Dave Price (00:07:03):

This could take years and years.

Dave Price (00:07:04):

Like, I just wonder how patient people can really be with us.

Laura Belin (00:07:08):

Well,

Laura Belin (00:07:09):

and I saw an analysis from,

Laura Belin (00:07:10):

I think it was Morgan Stanley,

Laura Belin (00:07:12):

that the markets would be down more if everybody were convinced that this is going

Laura Belin (00:07:17):

to be permanent.

Laura Belin (00:07:18):

I mean, a lot of people think that Trump is going to backtrack when he sees what the impact is.

Laura Belin (00:07:23):

And so that's why things aren't down more than they are.

Laura Belin (00:07:27):

And even with that, as you said, things are quite substantially down.

Laura Belin (00:07:31):

I mean, yes, people like the idea of building things in the United States, but

Laura Belin (00:07:35):

It's not like corporations can immediately pivot and open a factory here.

Laura Belin (00:07:39):

That would take years.

Laura Belin (00:07:40):

And in many industries,

Laura Belin (00:07:41):

it's just not realistic that some of these products are going to be manufactured in

Laura Belin (00:07:47):

the U.S.

Dave Price (00:07:48):

And I'm not smart enough to talk about trade deals,

Dave Price (00:07:50):

but I do know that none of the people in my circle want to work for what people

Dave Price (00:07:58):

make in some of these countries where some of these products have shifted over the decades.

Dave Price (00:08:04):

Do you know anybody who's willing to work for the equivalent of like two, three bucks an hour?

Dave Price (00:08:08):

I don't think so.

Dave Price (00:08:09):

I mean, there's a fundamental reason beyond...

Dave Price (00:08:13):

tariffs and everything else that some of this stuff is is created elsewhere,

Dave Price (00:08:17):

because it's a lot cheaper to do that.

Dave Price (00:08:19):

So it's hard to fathom how this is all of a sudden going to come back here.

Dave Price (00:08:23):

We're going to make a bunch of stuff unless we're going to pay way more for this stuff.

Laura Belin (00:08:27):

Well, and the infrastructure isn't there.

Laura Belin (00:08:29):

I was just watching part of the congressional debate,

Laura Belin (00:08:32):

and Senator Susan Collins of Maine was up there talking about how some huge

Laura Belin (00:08:37):

percentage of Maine blueberries are processed on Prince Edward Island.

Laura Belin (00:08:41):

I mean, the U.S.

Laura Belin (00:08:42):

and Canadian economies have been so integrated,

Laura Belin (00:08:45):

and she said a very large percentage of Maine lobster is processed there.

Laura Belin (00:08:49):

I mean, we just don't have the infrastructure for all these Maine blueberries to be packaged

Laura Belin (00:08:54):

in the United States.

Laura Belin (00:08:55):

So if you slap a 25% tariff on when it crosses the border,

Laura Belin (00:08:59):

I mean,

Laura Belin (00:09:00):

that just think about how many people are buying fresher frozen blueberries.

Dave Price (00:09:04):

Exactly.

Dave Price (00:09:04):

All right.

Dave Price (00:09:05):

So I know we're supposed to focus primarily on the Iowa legislature,

Dave Price (00:09:09):

but I feel like there's no way you can not do that as we hourglass this way down.

Dave Price (00:09:13):

All right.

Dave Price (00:09:14):

So all three of us were there at the state house this week.

Dave Price (00:09:16):

We were part of these series of legislative leader avails on Thursday.

Dave Price (00:09:23):

And Laura,

Dave Price (00:09:23):

as you mentioned,

Dave Price (00:09:24):

thanks to Aaron's work,

Dave Price (00:09:26):

the president of the Senate,

Dave Price (00:09:27):

Amy Sinclair,

Dave Price (00:09:28):

did one as well.

Dave Price (00:09:29):

which is especially welcome.

Dave Price (00:09:31):

We did not talk to the governor again this week,

Dave Price (00:09:33):

but we got the legislative leaders and you are here.

Dave Price (00:09:38):

It's interesting to almost parse the words of all of these leaders about what,

Dave Price (00:09:43):

if anything,

Dave Price (00:09:43):

should happen.

Dave Price (00:09:45):

And from the Democratic side,

Dave Price (00:09:47):

the minority side,

Dave Price (00:09:48):

they're saying,

Dave Price (00:09:48):

hey,

Dave Price (00:09:48):

at least extend unemployment benefits.

Dave Price (00:09:50):

You got to do something because there's going to be some longer term pain here.

Dave Price (00:09:54):

And I'm going to really summarize because they said a lot more than that.

Dave Price (00:09:58):

Pat Grassley, the House Speaker, said, you know, we need better deals for farmers.

Dave Price (00:10:02):

But then,

Dave Price (00:10:02):

you know,

Dave Price (00:10:03):

talk some more about,

Dave Price (00:10:06):

you know,

Dave Price (00:10:06):

potentially,

Dave Price (00:10:07):

you know,

Dave Price (00:10:08):

there could be some some economic harm from this.

Dave Price (00:10:10):

I thought Amy Sinclair was a little.

Dave Price (00:10:14):

Maybe less supportive of this tariff decision.

Dave Price (00:10:17):

Of course,

Dave Price (00:10:19):

those of us who covered the caucus remember she was a DeSantis fan and not a Trump

Dave Price (00:10:22):

fan before the January caucuses last year.

Dave Price (00:10:25):

But she now again, she's not calling for any action from the Republican legislature.

Dave Price (00:10:30):

But I also didn't feel like she was standing up there defending what's happening.

Erin Murphy (00:10:36):

I think that's a fair description.

Erin Murphy (00:10:38):

And as I sit here,

Erin Murphy (00:10:39):

I can't remember exactly what she said,

Erin Murphy (00:10:43):

if you guys have better memories than me filling in any blanks.

Erin Murphy (00:10:48):

But I do recall walking away from that with a similar feeling that Speaker Grassley

Erin Murphy (00:10:55):

did the more classical,

Erin Murphy (00:10:57):

you know,

Erin Murphy (00:10:58):

supporting the strategy sort of speech while acknowledging that,

Erin Murphy (00:11:04):

you know,

Erin Murphy (00:11:05):

the potential for disruption there,

Erin Murphy (00:11:08):

but ultimately making the argument that the Trump administration strategy is a good thing.

Erin Murphy (00:11:15):

Whereas I didn't feel that Senator Sinclair's was as full throated in that way.

Laura Belin (00:11:21):

I felt Senator Sinclair,

Laura Belin (00:11:23):

I mean,

Laura Belin (00:11:23):

she started out by making really clear this is Trump's decision.

Laura Belin (00:11:26):

So I thought she was distancing herself a little bit,

Laura Belin (00:11:30):

but I thought both of the Republican leaders were not really acknowledging how much

Laura Belin (00:11:35):

all of this could be affecting the Iowa budget.

Laura Belin (00:11:38):

I mean, Amy Sinclair said, well, we're not going to be dealing with income tax this year.

Laura Belin (00:11:41):

We're mostly talking about property taxes.

Laura Belin (00:11:45):

And some of this isn't directly tied to the tariffs, but the massive change

Laura Belin (00:11:50):

cuts to federal funding i mean there are employees in state government whose

Laura Belin (00:11:54):

salaries are paid for with federal funds that may or may not be forthcoming and so

Laura Belin (00:11:59):

i felt that neither republican leader was really talking about how much they may

Laura Belin (00:12:04):

have to adjust the budget planning that was something the democratic leaders were

Laura Belin (00:12:07):

very much talking about the word realistic was used jennifer converse the house

Laura Belin (00:12:12):

minority leader said that several times we need to be realistic about what the

Laura Belin (00:12:16):

prospects are going to be for the coming year because i think

Laura Belin (00:12:19):

If this does send the economy into a recession, we saw it during the last great recession.

Laura Belin (00:12:24):

I mean, that certainly will affect state revenues.

Laura Belin (00:12:27):

And unlike during the COVID recession,

Laura Belin (00:12:30):

there's not going to be an enormous federal aid package coming our way,

Laura Belin (00:12:33):

quite the opposite.

Erin Murphy (00:12:35):

Yeah, no, that 100% agree with.

Erin Murphy (00:12:37):

And that was the clear message that they didn't seem to believe that there was any

Erin Murphy (00:12:43):

great adjustment they needed to make in their budget plans.

Erin Murphy (00:12:48):

We don't know what their budget plans are yet.

Erin Murphy (00:12:50):

We don't even have spending targets.

Erin Murphy (00:12:52):

yet which we usually do by this point um it sounded like um those will be coming

Erin Murphy (00:12:58):

soon now so it will be interesting to see um you know what kind of level they're at

Erin Murphy (00:13:03):

and are they comparable to the governor's proposal from their january are they how

Erin Murphy (00:13:07):

do they compare to

Erin Murphy (00:13:08):

Last year's.

Erin Murphy (00:13:09):

But yeah, it didn't sound like they felt they needed to pump the brakes at all.

Erin Murphy (00:13:14):

Now,

Erin Murphy (00:13:15):

coming into this year,

Erin Murphy (00:13:16):

you'll have a lot of people who would argue that they've already pumped the brakes

Erin Murphy (00:13:19):

too much in previous years.

Erin Murphy (00:13:21):

So not pumping the brakes anymore now wouldn't be any significant.

Erin Murphy (00:13:26):

change.

Erin Murphy (00:13:27):

But to that point,

Erin Murphy (00:13:29):

if their spending proposal is similar to past years,

Erin Murphy (00:13:34):

then they're following through on what they seem to indicate Thursday,

Erin Murphy (00:13:37):

which is they don't think there's a need to worry from the state financial perspective.

Dave Price (00:13:42):

I think I do remember Senator Sinclair talking about conservative budgeting or

Dave Price (00:13:48):

something like that as they look ahead to the year ahead.

Dave Price (00:13:52):

And I think they also both

Dave Price (00:13:54):

Well, I don't know that either one of them said the exact figure.

Dave Price (00:13:57):

You know,

Dave Price (00:13:57):

if there's $6 billion total in reserves or something like that,

Dave Price (00:14:00):

there is that ability to go grab something.

Dave Price (00:14:03):

And they don't seem inclined to spend that for anything else right now.

Dave Price (00:14:09):

And it doesn't appear that income taxes are even a thing that we can expect more

Dave Price (00:14:14):

action on that this session.

Dave Price (00:14:16):

So I'm wondering if they're just looking at the cushion for now and thinking,

Dave Price (00:14:19):

all right,

Dave Price (00:14:20):

we've got that if we need it.

Laura Belin (00:14:22):

I would guess so.

Laura Belin (00:14:23):

I mean,

Laura Belin (00:14:23):

but if it does turn out to be a recession,

Laura Belin (00:14:26):

I mean,

Laura Belin (00:14:26):

state revenues really tanked in 2008,

Laura Belin (00:14:29):

2009.

Laura Belin (00:14:30):

And Republicans still like to talk about Governor Chet Culver making that 10%

Laura Belin (00:14:35):

across the board budget cut,

Laura Belin (00:14:37):

which was...

Laura Belin (00:14:37):

You can say a lot of things about that being poor management,

Laura Belin (00:14:41):

but every state in the country was having a huge revenue drop.

Laura Belin (00:14:45):

I mean, the biggest drop since the Great Depression.

Laura Belin (00:14:48):

And so I'm not saying that that is what's going to happen.

Laura Belin (00:14:52):

But if the country goes into recession and we don't have a huge stimulus package

Laura Belin (00:14:56):

from the federal government,

Laura Belin (00:14:57):

which I think it's very clear would not be forthcoming,

Laura Belin (00:15:01):

then the state could be in a real pinch.

Laura Belin (00:15:03):

But you're right,

Laura Belin (00:15:04):

the taxpayer relief fund and the other surplus accounts,

Laura Belin (00:15:08):

that certainly does give them a cushion.

Dave Price (00:15:10):

Aaron, you talked about that we don't have budget targets yet.

Dave Price (00:15:13):

We are talking at the end of the first week of April.

Dave Price (00:15:17):

In theory,

Dave Price (00:15:18):

the session could be over in a couple of weeks,

Dave Price (00:15:19):

but I think we will all not bet the mortgage that that will happen as they have not

Dave Price (00:15:25):

even somehow inexplicably have not even agreed on public school funding yet,

Dave Price (00:15:30):

which should have been decided legally six weeks ago or whatever the heck the

Dave Price (00:15:35):

deadline would have been.

Dave Price (00:15:37):

But I feel like that helps us segue into something else Speaker Grassley talked

Dave Price (00:15:44):

about during his avail on Thursday,

Dave Price (00:15:46):

and that would seem to be the demise of that ag bill that dealt primarily with

Dave Price (00:15:53):

Bayer when you're talking about Roundup,

Dave Price (00:15:56):

glyphosate,

Dave Price (00:15:58):

The chemical in there that is so effective at killing weeds,

Dave Price (00:16:03):

but it's also been part of numerous lawsuits and billions of dollars worth of

Dave Price (00:16:09):

settlements that bear has had with people on this,

Dave Price (00:16:12):

so this would have.

Dave Price (00:16:14):

The Senate version would have given the company some extra protection potentially

Dave Price (00:16:19):

from lawsuits and similar to what happened in the past with them last year.

Dave Price (00:16:23):

But in both cases, House Republicans have decided not to move forward with this.

Dave Price (00:16:28):

And I'm curious,

Dave Price (00:16:29):

both of you,

Dave Price (00:16:30):

what your take on this and props to Speaker Grassley for being very open about

Dave Price (00:16:36):

talking about all of this,

Dave Price (00:16:38):

which is helpful to us as we try to figure out where things are going.

Erin Murphy (00:16:42):

Yeah, I'll just say real quick to get us started.

Erin Murphy (00:16:45):

I appreciate your pronunciation of glyphosate,

Erin Murphy (00:16:48):

Dave,

Erin Murphy (00:16:48):

because I think I could create a whole bingo card with the different ways that word

Erin Murphy (00:16:53):

has been pronounced between committee hearings and floor debate.

Erin Murphy (00:16:58):

Who knows where else I've been hearing it.

Dave Price (00:17:00):

Just say Roundup.

Dave Price (00:17:03):

It's like Kleenex.

Dave Price (00:17:04):

Most people kind of know what we're talking about here.

Erin Murphy (00:17:07):

um this isn't surprising is in that we're in the same place we were last year as

Erin Murphy (00:17:14):

well when the senate tried to to pass this well the senate did pass this bill in

Erin Murphy (00:17:18):

the house didn't take it up then either i guess maybe what makes it a little more

Erin Murphy (00:17:22):

surprising this year is there was such a concerted effort outside of the capital um

Erin Murphy (00:17:28):

we had advertise a big advertising campaign on this bill um you know when the

Erin Murphy (00:17:34):

narrative built that uh you know if a

Erin Murphy (00:17:37):

The farming is already difficult.

Erin Murphy (00:17:40):

If a tool like this goes away from farmers,

Erin Murphy (00:17:42):

it's going to make it even more and destroy farming in Iowa.

Erin Murphy (00:17:49):

That ultimately did not persuade

Erin Murphy (00:17:53):

enough house republicans yeah and to your point about speaker grassley talking

Erin Murphy (00:17:57):

about it he even referenced i didn't do that intentional just a couple seconds ago

Erin Murphy (00:18:02):

he even used the word narrative there's been this narrative built that i'm not sure

Erin Murphy (00:18:07):

that we agree with so um it's it was it's not surprising but it has been

Erin Murphy (00:18:12):

fascinating to see it unfold and and ultimately wind up in the in the same

Erin Murphy (00:18:17):

place that we did a year ago with,

Erin Murphy (00:18:18):

by the way,

Erin Murphy (00:18:19):

with even fewer votes of support in the Senate,

Erin Murphy (00:18:22):

it was closer in the Senate than the margin it passed by last year.

Laura Belin (00:18:28):

Yeah, it was a bit of a nail biter there with the Senate.

Laura Belin (00:18:30):

We don't see with 34 Republican senators,

Laura Belin (00:18:32):

we don't see very often a bill come up with even fewer than 30 votes.

Laura Belin (00:18:37):

And this one just barely got to the 26.

Erin Murphy (00:18:39):

It was 26.

Erin Murphy (00:18:40):

Yeah.

Laura Belin (00:18:40):

Yeah.

Laura Belin (00:18:41):

So I feel that in the House,

Laura Belin (00:18:43):

I wasn't that surprised because it didn't move forward in the House last year.

Laura Belin (00:18:47):

But of course, they had a majority last year of 64 to 36.

Laura Belin (00:18:49):

That is now that much bigger, 67 to 33.

Laura Belin (00:18:53):

And I think the perception was always that

Laura Belin (00:18:56):

Speaker Grassley was supportive of this bill.

Laura Belin (00:18:58):

It was the other members of his caucus who were not.

Laura Belin (00:19:01):

So I wondered in the back of my head, do those extra three votes pull them over the line?

Laura Belin (00:19:07):

But boy, there were some very outspoken Republicans.

Laura Belin (00:19:10):

I saw some references even well before the Senate passed the bill.

Laura Belin (00:19:14):

Republicans in the House putting in their newsletter that they were very against this bill.

Laura Belin (00:19:18):

So I think that the Republicans

Laura Belin (00:19:21):

Speaker Grassley called it a narrative,

Laura Belin (00:19:22):

whatever you want to call it,

Laura Belin (00:19:23):

in conservative circles,

Laura Belin (00:19:25):

this was extremely unpopular.

Laura Belin (00:19:27):

And there's, I think, a lot of overlap between

Laura Belin (00:19:31):

what I would call the anti-vax strain,

Laura Belin (00:19:35):

and then the anti-ag chemical,

Laura Belin (00:19:37):

we might call it the RFK junior people,

Laura Belin (00:19:40):

because some of the people who spoke at the subcommittee in the Senate against this

Laura Belin (00:19:44):

bill were those same people who are skeptical in general about other aspects of the establishment.

Laura Belin (00:19:51):

So I was not that surprised to see it go down,

Laura Belin (00:19:54):

but maybe a little surprised that Speaker Grassley was so open about it.

Dave Price (00:19:58):

And what about the I'm trying to figure out where this pipeline discussion is going

Dave Price (00:20:03):

to go this this legislative session right I mean this is a multi year discussion

Dave Price (00:20:10):

and you talk about an issue that splits Republicans,

Dave Price (00:20:14):

it is so challenging.

Dave Price (00:20:16):

to see what, if anything, they could all agree on.

Dave Price (00:20:22):

How do you not essentially kill the carbon sequestration pipeline,

Dave Price (00:20:27):

but still offer some additional protection for landowners?

Dave Price (00:20:33):

And is there such a threading of the needle that can do both those things?

Dave Price (00:20:39):

Are they too polar opposites that it just can't be done?

Laura Belin (00:20:45):

Well,

Laura Belin (00:20:46):

I saw Senator Mike Busselow's newsletter out today,

Laura Belin (00:20:50):

and this is his spin,

Laura Belin (00:20:51):

is that he's got the solution that's going to protect all landowners,

Laura Belin (00:20:55):

not just people opposing a specific project.

Laura Belin (00:20:58):

But ultimately,

Laura Belin (00:20:59):

his bill is not going to prevent the Summit Carbon Solution Pipeline from being built.

Laura Belin (00:21:03):

And that's the main thing that people want.

Laura Belin (00:21:06):

They want...

Laura Belin (00:21:07):

no eminent domain for this kind of project.

Laura Belin (00:21:09):

And his amendment is taking all of those provisions out of the bill.

Laura Belin (00:21:13):

So I'll be skeptical,

Laura Belin (00:21:15):

I guess,

Laura Belin (00:21:16):

to see who knows what the House Republicans are going to do,

Laura Belin (00:21:19):

because he is leaving in some reforms to the Iowa Utilities Commission and how they function.

Laura Belin (00:21:23):

But I don't get the sense that this amendment that he's proposed is going to be

Laura Belin (00:21:28):

satisfactory to the people who call themselves the Republican legislative

Laura Belin (00:21:32):

interveners for justice.

Erin Murphy (00:21:35):

Yeah, I agree.

Erin Murphy (00:21:36):

It'll be interesting to see what they ultimately decide,

Erin Murphy (00:21:39):

whether to just vote that on and say,

Erin Murphy (00:21:44):

we don't love it.

Erin Murphy (00:21:46):

There's probably some who would say House Republicans who have tried to pass these

Erin Murphy (00:21:50):

bills may even say we hate this bill,

Erin Murphy (00:21:52):

but it's more than what we have now.

Erin Murphy (00:21:54):

So I'll at least pass it for that reason, wishing that it did way more.

Erin Murphy (00:22:00):

Or is it so bad in their eye that they'll not even deem it worth approving and say,

Erin Murphy (00:22:06):

no,

Erin Murphy (00:22:07):

this is nothing like what we gave you.

Erin Murphy (00:22:09):

This does nothing to solve the problem as we see it.

Erin Murphy (00:22:12):

I'm speaking as a hypothetical House Republican here.

Erin Murphy (00:22:17):

I'm not even going to waste my time signing off on this and sending on to the governor.

Erin Murphy (00:22:22):

I don't know the answer to that.

Erin Murphy (00:22:23):

That will be curious.

Erin Murphy (00:22:25):

What I do know is that is the attitude among a bunch of those

Erin Murphy (00:22:31):

especially that group of House Republicans,

Erin Murphy (00:22:34):

Charlie Thompson,

Erin Murphy (00:22:35):

Steve Holt,

Erin Murphy (00:22:36):

a bunch of others who have been pushing for these bills,

Erin Murphy (00:22:39):

and then the landowner activists,

Erin Murphy (00:22:43):

they...

Erin Murphy (00:22:45):

see this as just spectacularly watered down and not at all effective in the way

Erin Murphy (00:22:52):

that the house bill was as as it left the house chamber so so it is going to be

Erin Murphy (00:22:57):

from a logistical procedural and political viewpoint going to be interesting to see

Erin Murphy (00:23:03):

what the future is for that bill

Laura Belin (00:23:05):

Just to explain to the listeners,

Laura Belin (00:23:07):

so some of the key provisions that the Senate Amendment is taking out,

Laura Belin (00:23:10):

and by the way,

Laura Belin (00:23:11):

we haven't necessarily seen the final version of the Senate Amendment.

Laura Belin (00:23:14):

Senator Disclose did not commit to that in the Commerce Committee, so we don't know.

Laura Belin (00:23:18):

But we know for sure that he took out all the language that said that a CO2

Laura Belin (00:23:23):

pipeline isn't eligible for eminent domain.

Laura Belin (00:23:28):

He took out a provision that says that if you're trying to get a permit for a CO2 pipeline,

Laura Belin (00:23:33):

you can only get it

Laura Belin (00:23:34):

once for 25 years and it can't be renewed.

Laura Belin (00:23:37):

He took out common carrier language,

Laura Belin (00:23:39):

which is a term of art that's complicated in this area of the law.

Laura Belin (00:23:43):

So it really doesn't...

Laura Belin (00:23:45):

The spin is that this protects all landowners because it makes it easier for them

Laura Belin (00:23:50):

to fight certain types of eminent domain and it makes it easier for Summit Carbon

Laura Belin (00:23:55):

to go outside the identified corridor to maybe sign voluntary easements with other landowners.

Laura Belin (00:24:00):

But that's not what these people want.

Laura Belin (00:24:01):

They want...

Laura Belin (00:24:03):

no eminent domain for this kind of project,

Laura Belin (00:24:05):

which they feel is only for the benefit of a private company and not something that

Laura Belin (00:24:10):

benefits all Iowans.

Laura Belin (00:24:11):

I mean,

Laura Belin (00:24:13):

you might argue,

Laura Belin (00:24:14):

not everyone would agree with an oil or gas pipeline or electric transmission lines,

Laura Belin (00:24:17):

but those are commodities that are well understood in the law to be things that are

Laura Belin (00:24:23):

in the public interest that members of the public use,

Laura Belin (00:24:25):

unlike this liquefied CO2.

Erin Murphy (00:24:28):

And real quick to that,

Erin Murphy (00:24:29):

you mentioned the expansion of the application of these proposals to all eminent

Erin Murphy (00:24:35):

domain projects,

Erin Murphy (00:24:36):

transmission lines,

Erin Murphy (00:24:38):

power generation lines,

Erin Murphy (00:24:39):

et cetera,

Erin Murphy (00:24:40):

et cetera.

Erin Murphy (00:24:40):

I talked to one prominent activist,

Erin Murphy (00:24:42):

Jeff Mazur is a name for folks who have been following this story closely.

Erin Murphy (00:24:45):

We'll know well with the Sierra Club.

Erin Murphy (00:24:48):

She called that a poison pill provision.

Erin Murphy (00:24:51):

And her argument was,

Laura Belin (00:24:54):

Now,

Erin Murphy (00:24:54):

all of a sudden,

Erin Murphy (00:24:55):

Mid-America and Alliant and Black Hills are interested in this bill and may be

Erin Murphy (00:24:59):

opposed to it.

Erin Murphy (00:25:00):

Whereas before, they had nothing to do with this bill.

Erin Murphy (00:25:04):

It was completely independent of them.

Erin Murphy (00:25:06):

And now you've gotten their attention and

Erin Murphy (00:25:09):

And maybe they don't like this one.

Erin Murphy (00:25:11):

And now you've got some giant energy companies lobbying potentially against that.

Erin Murphy (00:25:16):

Last I checked,

Erin Murphy (00:25:16):

they hadn't registered yet on the amended bill,

Erin Murphy (00:25:19):

but that was her hypothetical that you threatened bringing those groups in and

Erin Murphy (00:25:24):

bringing potentially their opposition,

Erin Murphy (00:25:26):

which could impact some legislators' viewpoints on the bill.

Dave Price (00:25:31):

And we should say we really have not heard much from the governor publicly about

Dave Price (00:25:35):

this issue for the most part.

Dave Price (00:25:39):

The prominent Republican donor is a supporter of Governor Reynolds.

Dave Price (00:25:43):

But either way, she hasn't really talked a lot publicly about what she even wants with us.

Erin Murphy (00:25:48):

Not just this year,

Erin Murphy (00:25:49):

Dave,

Erin Murphy (00:25:50):

but in the last four years of this being a very prominent topic at the Capitol.

Erin Murphy (00:25:55):

I will also note,

Erin Murphy (00:25:57):

Laura mentioned my other role as president of the Iowa Capitol Press Association.

Erin Murphy (00:26:02):

In this moment,

Erin Murphy (00:26:03):

I can't help but note that the governor doesn't talk to the press about a lot of

Erin Murphy (00:26:07):

stuff right now.

Erin Murphy (00:26:08):

She's a very sparse person.

Erin Murphy (00:26:12):

holder of public events and press conferences and interviews.

Erin Murphy (00:26:17):

And we'd like to see her out more often.

Erin Murphy (00:26:22):

But to that point, yeah, even when she has, she hasn't said much about the pipelines.

Dave Price (00:26:28):

This has been a change this year, I think.

Dave Price (00:26:31):

I am always reticent when I speak to groups or say anything publicly about

Dave Price (00:26:38):

you know,

Dave Price (00:26:39):

access and all kinds of stuff,

Dave Price (00:26:40):

because it sounds like we're whining about a bunch of stuff.

Dave Price (00:26:42):

But and I wish I had I wish I had a calendar behind me that I could kind of compare this.

Dave Price (00:26:48):

But I'm trying to think how many governors I've had for I think four since I've lived here.

Dave Price (00:26:54):

I don't know that I can ever remember a period where a governor

Dave Price (00:27:00):

had so infrequent public appearances or at least public appearances that were

Dave Price (00:27:07):

detailed on a public schedule or to do as we call them kind of the avails the

Dave Price (00:27:13):

gaggles the news conferences all of those things and i you know i don't honestly

Dave Price (00:27:18):

know if there's something that is keeping her

Dave Price (00:27:21):

you know otherwise occupied i don't really know the reason for it i just don't ever

Dave Price (00:27:25):

remember a stretch like this especially during a legislative session uh where i

Dave Price (00:27:30):

have seen a governor out of the public eye i know she's been to dc numerous times

Dave Price (00:27:37):

but the bill signing the other day with the hands free there was no no real access

Dave Price (00:27:42):

uh to talk to her about anything it's a it's a

Dave Price (00:27:46):

Just a different, kind of a different thing.

Erin Murphy (00:27:48):

Yeah,

Erin Murphy (00:27:49):

it's been,

Erin Murphy (00:27:49):

the one thing I'll say is it's been a kind of a gradual shift ever since COVID,

Erin Murphy (00:27:56):

essentially.

Dave Price (00:27:57):

Yeah, where she was always.

Erin Murphy (00:27:58):

Pandemic, she's relentlessly, yeah, yeah.

Erin Murphy (00:28:01):

And I don't know, I'm not gonna try and guess.

Erin Murphy (00:28:05):

All I know is that coming out of that,

Erin Murphy (00:28:08):

never since then,

Erin Murphy (00:28:09):

and it's been far less and only seems to be getting more

Erin Murphy (00:28:14):

more and more infrequent and I always say when I talk about this this isn't about

Erin Murphy (00:28:19):

me Aaron Murphy does not need another press conference to go to or another

Erin Murphy (00:28:23):

interview to prepare for the only reason I care about this because I care I think

Erin Murphy (00:28:28):

it's it's the way government should operate and that we're trying to cover this

Erin Murphy (00:28:32):

government on the behalf of Iowans and that's the only reason I even bring up this

Erin Murphy (00:28:36):

topic as I will occasionally do

Laura Belin (00:28:39):

I would be remiss not to mention that even before COVID,

Laura Belin (00:28:42):

I was physically prevented from entering Governor Reynolds' press conferences most

Laura Belin (00:28:47):

of the time by her then press secretary.

Laura Belin (00:28:49):

So I would say from my perspective, the access has never been great.

Laura Belin (00:28:52):

But I would agree that more broadly with the statehouse press corps,

Laura Belin (00:28:58):

there's less frequent access.

Laura Belin (00:29:00):

But getting back to this pipeline issue,

Laura Belin (00:29:02):

I've always felt for the last several years that the reason the Iowa Senate shut

Laura Belin (00:29:07):

down all discussion of eminent domain is that the governor doesn't want to sign one

Laura Belin (00:29:11):

of these bills and she also doesn't want to veto one of these bills because this

Laura Belin (00:29:14):

pipeline is extremely unpopular in the Republican Party,

Laura Belin (00:29:19):

particularly the conservative wing of the Republican Party.

Laura Belin (00:29:22):

in Northwest Iowa,

Laura Belin (00:29:23):

where many counties are crossed by the summit carbon pipeline route,

Laura Belin (00:29:27):

and a lot of people are upset about it.

Laura Belin (00:29:29):

So I think the best scenario for her is that if there's stalemate and the

Laura Belin (00:29:33):

legislature doesn't send anything to her desk.

Laura Belin (00:29:36):

And I think that Mike Busolo,

Laura Belin (00:29:38):

who is the new chair of the Commerce Committee,

Laura Belin (00:29:40):

he was not the chair prior to this year,

Laura Belin (00:29:42):

I think that for him,

Laura Belin (00:29:43):

he just wants to be seen as actually doing something on the issue and not

Laura Belin (00:29:47):

completely shutting down every discussion.

Laura Belin (00:29:49):

But I'm not sure that he necessarily really wants.

Laura Belin (00:29:53):

Clearly, he doesn't want a solution that results in the summit carbon pipeline not being built.

Dave Price (00:29:59):

All right, we're coming up to the end of it.

Dave Price (00:30:01):

We always,

Dave Price (00:30:03):

Aaron,

Dave Price (00:30:03):

at the end of our Gab Fest,

Dave Price (00:30:05):

we like to tell folks what we're working on,

Dave Price (00:30:10):

a little plug,

Dave Price (00:30:12):

some self-promotion,

Dave Price (00:30:13):

if you will.

Dave Price (00:30:14):

So self-promote, would you?

Erin Murphy (00:30:17):

Well,

Erin Murphy (00:30:17):

I mean,

Erin Murphy (00:30:18):

to the point of our discussion here today,

Erin Murphy (00:30:21):

I'm knee deep and my colleague Tom Barton is just on the other side of the wall

Erin Murphy (00:30:25):

here doing similar work on coming out of this second funnel deadline of the

Erin Murphy (00:30:31):

legislative session.

Erin Murphy (00:30:33):

Not only what happened this week and then to the points leading up to, but now what

Erin Murphy (00:30:39):

does the shift,

Erin Murphy (00:30:40):

what does the focus shift to moving forward for the last few weeks of the session?

Erin Murphy (00:30:45):

Tom's got a story.

Erin Murphy (00:30:47):

I've got the old,

Erin Murphy (00:30:49):

if you're a true nerd of this stuff,

Erin Murphy (00:30:54):

I will have a literal list of all the bills we have covered this session and

Erin Murphy (00:30:58):

whether they did or did not survive this funnel,

Erin Murphy (00:31:01):

which is,

Erin Murphy (00:31:03):

we were talking about this a little bit just before hitting the record button.

Erin Murphy (00:31:06):

It's also kind of

Erin Murphy (00:31:07):

feels to a certain degree a silly exercise because it's always comes with the

Erin Murphy (00:31:11):

caveat that no bill is truly dead because there's always tricks and yeah a

Erin Murphy (00:31:17):

mechanism to bring it back if they want but as we sit here right now um so anyways

Erin Murphy (00:31:22):

all the possible legislative funnel coverage you could possibly want will be at the

Erin Murphy (00:31:27):

gazette.com or in your gazette print editions over the weekend

Dave Price (00:31:31):

I mean, let's be honest, that is true public service.

Dave Price (00:31:36):

Complete selfless public service.

Erin Murphy (00:31:40):

I sure hope so, because, man, it's a lot of work.

Dave Price (00:31:42):

Good thing your daughter's away at college and your wife can keep herself busy.

Dave Price (00:31:47):

She just locks you in the back room and lets you do this craziness.

Erin Murphy (00:31:52):

Yeah, we were just talking about the chemtrails here in the newsroom.

Laura Belin (00:31:57):

I kind of wanted to see that one debated on the House floor.

Laura Belin (00:32:00):

So I'll be working.

Laura Belin (00:32:01):

Spencer Dirks and I will be talking about a lot of funnel news,

Laura Belin (00:32:04):

what got through,

Laura Belin (00:32:05):

what didn't get through on Monday night's KHI Capital Week.

Laura Belin (00:32:09):

I'm working on something.

Laura Belin (00:32:10):

I think what I'm going to be posting on my Substack newsletter this weekend is

Laura Belin (00:32:14):

about the pesticide bill.

Laura Belin (00:32:15):

And not just that it's dead,

Laura Belin (00:32:17):

but that Mike Busolo,

Laura Belin (00:32:19):

the same senator who's in the middle of all this eminent domain negotiations,

Laura Belin (00:32:23):

floor managed that bill.

Laura Belin (00:32:25):

And I find it very interesting that he chose to floor manage such an incredibly

Laura Belin (00:32:29):

unpopular proposal.

Laura Belin (00:32:30):

So I'm going to be talking about some pesticide immunity bill angles.

Dave Price (00:32:37):

The main part of a column that I will post this weekend is essentially seeing the

Dave Price (00:32:44):

good and the bad.

Dave Price (00:32:46):

It has nothing to do with politics.

Dave Price (00:32:48):

That will be the top part of it.

Dave Price (00:32:50):

There will be some politics later on in there, but...

Dave Price (00:32:53):

It's healthy for me to turn my head away from politics from time to time.

Dave Price (00:32:58):

And as we look at the other thing going on in the world.

Dave Price (00:33:00):

Hey, Aaron, thanks for jumping in on this.

Dave Price (00:33:03):

You bet.

Dave Price (00:33:03):

It was great.

Dave Price (00:33:04):

Appreciate you having me.

Dave Price (00:33:05):

And you as well, Laura, of course.

Laura Belin (00:33:07):

Of course.

Dave Price (00:33:08):

Thanks to all of you for joining the Iowa Down Ballot podcast,

Dave Price (00:33:12):

a production from the Iowa Writers Collaborative.

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